Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.1% vs Pinto 51.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 72.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 91.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 56.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Guentzel
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Guentzel
Pinto
Last 8: Guentzel 5-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
3
0
Guentzel
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Guentzel
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
2
0
Guentzel
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
50.5% (556)
-1.4%
Power Play
44.9% (118)
68.0% (25)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
51.1% (94)
-4.9%
On power play, Pinto has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Guentzel is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Guentzel shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Pinto
Home
50.2% (205)
50.0% (310)
Away
44.4% (169)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Guentzel
Pinto
P1
47.6%
51.8%
P2
49.0%
49.8%
P3
46.2%
53.1%
OT
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |