Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Novak 46.5% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 57.4%
Defensive zone
Benn 54.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Benn
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
43.2% (118)
+12.1%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
47.8% (23)
+10.5%
On even strength, Benn has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Benn
Novak
Home
56.2% (443)
50.7% (71)
Away
54.2% (448)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Benn
Novak
P1
55.4%
44.7%
P2
54.1%
50.0%
P3
55.6%
38.9%
Final 5 min
58.9%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
55.2%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%