Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.7% vs Novak 42.5% (+8.6%)
Offensive zone
Novak 57.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 56.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Benn
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (67)
40.4% (408)
+5.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
45.5% (33)
+15.6%
On power play, Benn has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Benn is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Benn shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Benn
Novak
Home
48.8% (41)
42.0% (212)
Away
50.0% (46)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Benn
Novak
P1
34.6%
41.9%
P2
66.7%
39.3%
P3
45.2%
42.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%