Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.6% vs 42.8%). Dickinson wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.5% vs Hayes 43.8% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Dickinson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (255)
42.7% (478)
+1.6%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
42.9% (98)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
45.2% (31)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dickinson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Dickinson shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hayes
Home
38.8% (129)
43.5% (232)
Away
45.6% (160)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Dickinson
Hayes
P1
49.4%
40.1%
P2
45.1%
44.8%
P3
34.7%
42.4%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
42.6%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%