Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Hayes 42.7% (+13.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 87.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Dickinson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
31.9% (91)
+20.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
64.3% (14)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
0.0% (1)
+39.1%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Dickinson shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hayes
Home
48.7% (431)
30.6% (49)
Away
50.7% (404)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Dickinson
Hayes
P1
43.4%
22.9%
P2
54.9%
40.0%
P3
49.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%