Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.7%). Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Hayes 47.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 71.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 61.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Dickinson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Dickinson
Hayes
Last 10: Dickinson 2-8 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Dickinson
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
3
Dickinson
Hayes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
8
Dickinson
Hayes
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,390)
47.5% (6,708)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.1% (141)
51.7% (702)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (890)
45.3% (697)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,470).
Dickinson shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hayes
Home
49.3% (2,791)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
46.0% (2,630)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Dickinson
Hayes
P1
47.0%
47.5%
P2
48.2%
47.6%
P3
47.7%
47.9%
OT
52.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |