Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.5% vs Hertl 52.3% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 55.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 52.3%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 52.6%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Dickinson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dickinson
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Dickinson
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (255)
51.6% (1,084)
-7.3%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
61.0% (246)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
44.1% (136)
-16.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dickinson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Dickinson shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hertl
Home
38.8% (129)
55.2% (696)
Away
45.6% (160)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Dickinson
Hertl
P1
49.4%
55.4%
P2
45.1%
54.8%
P3
34.7%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
42.6%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |