Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.5% vs Novak 46.5% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 59.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 59.5%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 51.7%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Dickinson
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (255)
43.2% (118)
+1.1%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
47.8% (23)
-14.5%
On power play, Novak has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Dickinson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Dickinson shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Novak
Home
38.8% (129)
50.7% (71)
Away
45.6% (160)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Dickinson
Novak
P1
49.4%
44.7%
P2
45.1%
50.0%
P3
34.7%
38.9%
Final 5 min
40.3%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
42.6%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
44.0%