Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.9% vs Novak 44.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Dickinson
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dickinson
Novak
Last 5: Dickinson 2-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
1
3
Dickinson
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (503)
41.7% (206)
+10.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
52.6% (19)
-2.6%
On even strength, Dickinson has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Dickinson is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Dickinson shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Novak
Home
49.0% (345)
44.9% (118)
Away
50.9% (273)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Dickinson
Novak
P1
43.9%
41.5%
P2
57.3%
44.0%
P3
47.2%
42.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.8%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |