Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Zegras 42.6% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Dickinson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 58.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 79.7%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 64.0%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Dickinson
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Dickinson
Zegras
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dickinson
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
3
Dickinson
Zegras
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
41.1% (559)
+7.5%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
50.0% (12)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
50.0% (2)
-5.8%
On even strength, Dickinson has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dickinson shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Zegras
Home
45.4% (368)
45.7% (247)
Away
49.9% (403)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Dickinson
Zegras
P1
49.2%
45.5%
P2
46.3%
36.8%
P3
48.1%
41.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
47.7%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |