Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Zegras 41.3% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Dickinson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 95.0%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 72.9%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Dickinson
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Dickinson
Zegras
Last 10: Dickinson 6-4 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Dickinson
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
36.5% (156)
+15.0%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
40.7% (27)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
0.0% (3)
+42.4%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Zegras
Home
53.6% (489)
38.9% (113)
Away
44.7% (427)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Dickinson
Zegras
P1
47.7%
40.0%
P2
52.1%
38.1%
P3
47.8%
31.6%
OT
83.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.5%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |