Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Zegras 37.0% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 64.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 93.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 76.1%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Dickinson
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dickinson
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
33.0% (264)
+18.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
32.1% (56)
+34.6%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
50.0% (2)
-10.9%
On power play, Dickinson has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Dickinson shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Zegras
Home
48.7% (431)
35.3% (173)
Away
50.7% (404)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Dickinson
Zegras
P1
43.4%
33.0%
P2
54.9%
35.7%
P3
49.6%
29.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |