Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.5%). Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 51.7% vs Brown 51.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 52.3%
Defensive zone
Megna 50.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 54.8%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Megna
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Megna
Brown
Last 6: Megna 3-3 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Megna
1
0
Megna
Brown
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
1
0
Megna
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
3
Megna
Brown
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (251)
52.8% (284)
+1.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
75.0% (4)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
49.0% (51)
-6.7%
On power play, Brown has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Megna is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Megna shoots right. Brown is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Megna
Brown
Home
50.4% (135)
53.5% (144)
Away
54.2% (144)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Megna
Brown
P1
60.9%
49.0%
P2
51.2%
48.7%
P3
45.7%
58.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:30 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |