Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Domi 53.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 63.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Pageau
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Pageau
Domi
Last 8: Pageau 4-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
3
Pageau
Domi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Pageau
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
53.8% (847)
+5.0%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
52.1% (96)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
57.1% (7)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Domi is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Pageau
Domi
Home
59.0% (595)
53.9% (445)
Away
55.7% (661)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Pageau
Domi
P1
58.9%
51.4%
P2
57.9%
55.3%
P3
55.6%
54.7%
OT
44.4%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.2%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |