Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Max Domi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.7% vs Domi 48.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 80.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 97.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 94.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Pageau
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
13
(34 meetings)
21
13
Pageau
Domi
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
6
9
Pageau
Domi
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
12
1
Pageau
Domi
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Pageau
Domi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,301)
48.2% (4,232)
+7.5%
Power Play
56.8% (989)
52.7% (622)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (2,019)
48.8% (41)
+0.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Pageau shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,608).
Home / Away
Pageau
Domi
Home
56.3% (6,136)
49.7% (2,572)
Away
53.2% (6,173)
47.7% (2,323)
By Period
Pageau
Domi
P1
54.7%
48.8%
P2
56.2%
48.0%
P3
53.3%
49.8%
OT
54.5%
42.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |