Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Domi 50.2% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 61.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 57.2%
Neutral zone
Domi 52.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Pageau
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Pageau
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Pageau
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Pageau
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
49.7% (499)
+9.9%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
56.8% (44)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
0.0% (1)
+56.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Domi is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Pageau
Domi
Home
59.3% (506)
51.0% (298)
Away
60.0% (482)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Pageau
Domi
P1
56.8%
54.8%
P2
64.4%
48.9%
P3
56.9%
46.4%
Final 5 min
61.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Max Domi |