Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Pavel Zacha
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Zacha 50.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 73.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 87.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Pageau
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pageau
Zacha
Last 5: Pageau 4-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Pageau
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
48.0% (296)
+7.8%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
61.0% (59)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
50.0% (22)
+1.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Pageau
Zacha
Home
57.1% (674)
48.9% (223)
Away
53.5% (678)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Pageau
Zacha
P1
56.9%
47.9%
P2
54.5%
48.3%
P3
54.7%
54.3%
OT
52.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.3%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |