Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Pavel Zacha
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 29 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Zacha 49.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 38-22 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 85.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 98.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 96.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 94.0%
94.0%
6.0%
Pageau
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
22
(60 meetings)
38
22
Pageau
Zacha
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
11
7
Pageau
Zacha
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
20
9
Pageau
Zacha
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
6
Pageau
Zacha
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
48.9% (5,156)
+6.9%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
55.7% (813)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
42.2% (557)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Pageau
Zacha
Home
56.3% (6,267)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Pageau
Zacha
P1
54.7%
49.9%
P2
56.3%
49.2%
P3
53.5%
48.2%
OT
54.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |