Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Pavel Zacha
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Zacha 51.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 73.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Pageau
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pageau
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
53.0% (700)
+6.4%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
54.1% (109)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
39.2% (74)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Pageau
Zacha
Home
58.4% (430)
51.6% (438)
Away
61.0% (559)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Pageau
Zacha
P1
55.4%
57.0%
P2
61.8%
48.9%
P3
61.5%
50.5%
OT
75.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |