Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sebastian Aho
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 53.2% vs Aho 46.4% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 92.7%
Defensive zone
Aho 69.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 82.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 86.8%
13.2%
86.8%
Pageau
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Pageau
Aho
Last 10: Pageau 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
11
Pageau
Aho
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (826)
46.2% (744)
+7.3%
Power Play
59.2% (120)
44.6% (112)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (203)
45.5% (33)
+4.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Pageau is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Pageau shoots right. Aho is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Pageau
Aho
Home
55.7% (618)
46.7% (445)
Away
51.0% (531)
45.3% (444)
By Period
Pageau
Aho
P1
52.5%
48.1%
P2
56.1%
44.9%
P3
50.8%
45.8%
OT
61.3%
12.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
53.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |