Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sebastian Aho
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Aho 51.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 75.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Pageau
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Pageau
Aho
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
6
Pageau
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
48.5% (778)
+10.3%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
63.4% (191)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
50.8% (65)
-2.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Pageau
Aho
Home
59.0% (595)
51.3% (530)
Away
55.7% (661)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Pageau
Aho
P1
58.9%
50.0%
P2
57.9%
51.3%
P3
55.6%
52.1%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |