Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +23.6% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 33.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 41.6% vs Tavares 58.7% (-23.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 63.7%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 56.0%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 51.5%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Boqvist
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Boqvist
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Boqvist
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (140)
59.2% (1,035)
-24.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.0% (310)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Boqvist has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boqvist is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Boqvist shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Tavares
Home
37.6% (93)
57.5% (668)
Away
32.0% (50)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Boqvist
Tavares
P1
28.6%
58.0%
P2
34.8%
60.1%
P3
41.0%
61.0%
OT
0.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
41.9%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
35.7%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |