Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +28.2% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 30.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 39.0% vs Tavares 56.8% (-28.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 55.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 56.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Boqvist
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Boqvist
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Boqvist
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
30.7% (101)
57.7% (975)
-27.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
56.0% (250)
-36.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
52.2% (23)
-52.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boqvist is 30.8% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Boqvist shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Tavares
Home
30.0% (60)
57.4% (636)
Away
28.0% (50)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Boqvist
Tavares
P1
35.9%
57.5%
P2
27.5%
56.9%
P3
22.6%
57.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
29.1%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |