Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Boqvist wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.4% vs Tavares 54.4% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Boqvist 87.8%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 83.9%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 92.8%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Boqvist
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Boqvist
Tavares
Last 10: Boqvist 1-9 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Boqvist
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
Boqvist
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
5
Boqvist
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (1,095)
54.0% (16,169)
-17.7%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
56.4% (4,298)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
50.5% (624)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boqvist is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Boqvist shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Tavares
Home
36.9% (542)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
35.8% (617)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Boqvist
Tavares
P1
37.4%
55.0%
P2
35.9%
54.1%
P3
35.9%
54.0%
OT
25.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
36.7%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.3%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |