Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.3% vs 43.0%). Boqvist wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 45.1% vs Kelly 43.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 68.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 83.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 52.7%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Boqvist
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boqvist
Kelly
Last 5: Boqvist 2-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Kelly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
2
Boqvist
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (148)
44.8% (556)
-0.9%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
0.0% (2)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
36.8% (144)
-10.1%
On power play, Boqvist has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Boqvist is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Boqvist shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Kelly
Home
43.0% (93)
44.8% (368)
Away
41.3% (75)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Boqvist
Kelly
P1
55.9%
46.7%
P2
37.3%
48.0%
P3
31.0%
34.8%
Final 5 min
45.2%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
42.3%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |