Scouting Report
Parker Kelly holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.4% vs Kelly 41.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 74.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 65.4%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 55.0%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Boqvist
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boqvist
Kelly
Last 5: Boqvist 2-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Kelly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
2
Boqvist
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (1,095)
42.0% (758)
-5.7%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
0.0% (3)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
36.8% (174)
-6.0%
On power play, Boqvist has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Boqvist is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Boqvist shoots left. Kelly is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Kelly
Home
36.9% (542)
42.4% (476)
Away
35.8% (617)
39.2% (459)
By Period
Boqvist
Kelly
P1
37.4%
42.3%
P2
35.9%
44.7%
P3
35.9%
35.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.7%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.3%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |