Scouting Report
Parker Kelly holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.9% vs Kelly 41.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 74.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 69.6%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 51.5%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Boqvist
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boqvist
Kelly
Last 5: Boqvist 2-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Kelly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
2
Boqvist
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (1,060)
41.6% (722)
-4.8%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
0.0% (3)
+40.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
36.5% (170)
-5.7%
On power play, Boqvist has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Boqvist is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Boqvist shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (601).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Kelly
Home
37.0% (538)
42.2% (457)
Away
36.6% (585)
38.6% (438)
By Period
Boqvist
Kelly
P1
38.2%
41.5%
P2
36.2%
44.9%
P3
36.1%
35.1%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.0%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
36.8%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |