Scouting Report
Parker Kelly holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 30.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 39.0% vs Kelly 41.4% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 63.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 58.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 54.4%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Boqvist
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
30.7% (101)
36.5% (159)
-5.8%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
0.0% (1)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
38.5% (13)
-38.5%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Boqvist is 30.8% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Boqvist shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Kelly
Home
30.0% (60)
35.4% (79)
Away
28.0% (50)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Boqvist
Kelly
P1
35.9%
33.8%
P2
27.5%
36.5%
P3
22.6%
39.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
29.1%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%