Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Trevor Zegras
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Zegras 43.3% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 51.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 61.5%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 52.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 3-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
39.8% (128)
+11.9%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
22.2% (9)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
0.0% (1)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Home
49.5% (313)
29.7% (74)
Away
53.5% (333)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
P1
54.5%
40.7%
P2
51.1%
35.1%
P3
49.0%
41.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.5%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |