Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Zegras 40.4% (+12.9%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 57.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 64.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.1%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
33.6% (143)
+14.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
39.0% (41)
+61.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Zegras is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Home
46.8% (126)
31.6% (98)
Away
50.0% (74)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
P1
50.0%
38.9%
P2
47.9%
38.0%
P3
45.6%
27.1%
Final 5 min
47.3%
29.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.1%