Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Trevor Zegras

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Zegras 37.0% (+15.0%)
Offensive zone Zegras 56.2%
Defensive zone Kotkaniemi 67.5%
Neutral zone Zegras 51.5%
Result Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Kotkaniemi Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
33.0% (264)
+14.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
32.1% (56)
+67.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +67.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Home
46.5% (129)
35.3% (173)
Away
50.0% (84)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
P1
51.3%
33.0%
P2
46.1%
35.7%
P3
45.9%
29.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
29.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%
49.0%
47.9%
Zegras
42.0%
28.0%
32.9%