Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Trevor Zegras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Zegras 39.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 61.9%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 79.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 70.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 4-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
39.0% (1,703)
+10.0%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
38.5% (148)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
25.0% (8)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Home
49.7% (2,197)
40.5% (908)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
P1
49.9%
40.0%
P2
50.4%
38.6%
P3
47.2%
38.2%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |