Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Trevor Zegras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Zegras 40.2% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 61.9%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 78.6%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 69.4%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 4-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (3,840)
39.5% (1,582)
+9.6%
Power Play
51.1% (350)
41.4% (133)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
28.6% (7)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Zegras is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Home
49.7% (2,194)
40.6% (833)
Away
48.6% (2,031)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
P1
49.8%
41.2%
P2
50.5%
39.1%
P3
47.2%
38.5%
OT
50.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |