Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 58.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
58.6% (597)
-5.8%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
57.9% (57)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
51.9% (52)
-37.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
Home
52.5% (366)
59.6% (344)
Away
51.0% (343)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
P1
53.8%
53.1%
P2
49.2%
62.1%
P3
52.6%
60.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |