Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 74.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 53.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 59.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
58.5% (135)
-10.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
80.0% (5)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.4% (18)
-11.1%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
Home
46.8% (126)
63.7% (91)
Away
50.0% (74)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Karlsson
P1
50.0%
54.4%
P2
47.9%
66.7%
P3
45.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
47.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | William Karlsson |