Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.2% vs Pavelski 53.3% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 72.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 57.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 53.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Pettersson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pettersson
Pavelski
Last 5: Pettersson 2-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Pettersson
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Pettersson
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (137)
54.4% (474)
-12.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
51.9% (104)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
52.7% (74)
+47.3%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +47.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pettersson is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Pettersson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pavelski
Home
45.1% (71)
54.3% (313)
Away
38.6% (70)
53.4% (339)
By Period
Pettersson
Pavelski
P1
39.6%
51.0%
P2
33.3%
51.9%
P3
52.2%
58.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
36.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
41.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |