Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Steel 46.6% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 54.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 63.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Pavelski
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
44.6% (177)
+6.9%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
66.7% (3)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
44.8% (29)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Steel
Home
53.1% (339)
46.7% (90)
Away
49.2% (356)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Pavelski
Steel
P1
53.8%
47.8%
P2
47.8%
47.0%
P3
50.2%
41.3%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.0%