Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Aho 53.8% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Aho 71.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 60.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Pavelski
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
51.2% (785)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
63.8% (213)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
57.9% (57)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Aho
Home
53.1% (339)
54.9% (548)
Away
49.2% (356)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Pavelski
Aho
P1
53.8%
52.8%
P2
47.8%
58.9%
P3
50.2%
50.6%
OT
71.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%