Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.6%
Defensive zone
Veleno 63.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Veleno
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Veleno
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Veleno
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
57.7% (998)
-10.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.5% (271)
+39.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
56.4% (39)
-31.4%
On power play, Veleno has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Veleno
Tavares
Home
47.8% (201)
59.7% (610)
Away
46.1% (228)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Veleno
Tavares
P1
48.8%
57.2%
P2
47.9%
58.5%
P3
44.2%
59.4%
Final 5 min
47.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
46.9%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |