Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Tavares 57.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.1%
Defensive zone
Veleno 71.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.5%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Veleno
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Veleno
Tavares
Last 6: Veleno 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Veleno
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (262)
59.0% (691)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
63.6% (11)
-33.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Veleno is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Veleno shoots left. Tavares is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Veleno
Tavares
Home
49.6% (123)
58.0% (500)
Away
52.5% (162)
59.7% (375)
By Period
Veleno
Tavares
P1
53.8%
59.5%
P2
47.8%
58.5%
P3
54.5%
58.2%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
61.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
51.2%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 04:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |