Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Frost 46.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Veleno
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Veleno
Frost
Last 5: Veleno 4-1 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
1
Veleno
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
45.6% (833)
-2.7%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
46.0% (100)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
55.6% (18)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Veleno
Frost
Home
40.7% (327)
47.0% (440)
Away
44.4% (324)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Veleno
Frost
P1
43.2%
42.5%
P2
42.0%
47.9%
P3
42.4%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
42.5%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |