Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Sturm 55.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 64.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 80.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 64.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Ek
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Ek
Sturm
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
0
Ek
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
3
Ek
Sturm
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Ek
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
56.1% (716)
-7.7%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
67.7% (31)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
51.1% (133)
-9.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Ek shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Ek
Sturm
Home
50.1% (689)
55.6% (412)
Away
48.6% (697)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Ek
Sturm
P1
49.5%
59.6%
P2
49.3%
52.0%
P3
48.9%
55.5%
OT
53.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.4%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |