Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Sturm 53.6% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Ek 74.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 70.1%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Ek
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
54.6% (271)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
54.4% (90)
-6.5%
On even strength, Sturm has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Ek
Sturm
Home
49.9% (693)
53.0% (168)
Away
48.3% (625)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Ek
Sturm
P1
47.4%
58.2%
P2
53.1%
53.2%
P3
46.3%
52.3%
OT
54.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%