Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 18 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.8% vs Sturm 56.1% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 87.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 73.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 84.4%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Ek
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
19
(28 meetings)
9
19
Ek
Sturm
Last 10: Ek 2-8 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
6
0
Ek
Sturm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
16
Ek
Sturm
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
3
Ek
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,717)
57.1% (2,719)
-9.6%
Power Play
55.1% (1,500)
61.3% (62)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (1,176)
51.0% (498)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,137).
Ek shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Ek
Sturm
Home
48.6% (4,644)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
47.0% (4,749)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Ek
Sturm
P1
46.8%
56.5%
P2
49.5%
54.9%
P3
46.7%
57.4%
OT
53.8%
60.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |