Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Tavares 56.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.2%
Defensive zone
Veleno 72.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Veleno
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Veleno
Tavares
Last 6: Veleno 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Veleno
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
57.7% (956)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
52.2% (23)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Veleno shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Veleno
Tavares
Home
49.6% (123)
57.4% (636)
Away
52.2% (184)
57.1% (587)
By Period
Veleno
Tavares
P1
54.1%
57.1%
P2
48.8%
57.0%
P3
52.6%
57.6%
OT
25.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
60.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 04:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |