Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Reichel 45.6% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.8%
Neutral zone
Reichel 50.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Tavares
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tavares
Reichel
Last 6: Tavares 3-3 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
2
Tavares
Reichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Reichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Reichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
43.5% (170)
+15.7%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
50.0% (24)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
0.0% (4)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Reichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Tavares
Reichel
Home
57.5% (668)
45.7% (81)
Away
61.1% (684)
41.9% (117)
By Period
Tavares
Reichel
P1
58.0%
48.4%
P2
60.1%
34.3%
P3
61.0%
46.9%
OT
27.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | OT | 02:16 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |