Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Reichel 41.6% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.7%
Defensive zone
Reichel 67.7%
Neutral zone
Reichel 54.1%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Tavares
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Tavares
Reichel
Last 7: Tavares 3-4 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
2
Tavares
Reichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
2
Tavares
Reichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Reichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
40.1% (668)
+13.9%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
48.2% (56)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
0.0% (6)
+50.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Tavares shoots left. Reichel is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Tavares
Reichel
Home
56.1% (10,389)
41.2% (410)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
39.4% (320)
By Period
Tavares
Reichel
P1
55.1%
41.9%
P2
54.1%
36.3%
P3
54.0%
42.8%
OT
56.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 24, 2023 | OT | 02:16 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |