Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Reichel 42.1% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.2%
Defensive zone
Reichel 60.2%
Neutral zone
Reichel 58.8%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Tavares
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
0
1
Tavares
Reichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
39.1% (327)
+18.6%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
50.0% (28)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
0.0% (1)
+56.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Reichel is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Tavares
Reichel
Home
59.7% (610)
43.7% (206)
Away
57.0% (698)
34.7% (150)
By Period
Tavares
Reichel
P1
57.2%
35.5%
P2
58.5%
39.5%
P3
59.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
35.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |