Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Tavares
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Tavares
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
49.4% (445)
+9.8%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
100.0% (3)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
41.9% (117)
+1.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kuraly
Home
57.5% (668)
49.2% (248)
Away
61.1% (684)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Tavares
Kuraly
P1
58.0%
48.3%
P2
60.1%
44.7%
P3
61.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
60.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |