Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.4% vs Hertl 55.4% (-15.0%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Drouin
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (19)
54.1% (717)
-12.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
61.9% (210)
-28.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Drouin is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Drouin shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Drouin
Hertl
Home
46.2% (13)
58.1% (492)
Away
33.3% (9)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Drouin
Hertl
P1
42.9%
57.1%
P2
30.0%
54.0%
P3
60.0%
56.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
48.0%▼
50.5%
40.9%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%