Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 50.6% vs Hertl 56.6% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 51.6%
Defensive zone
Drouin 55.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.7%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Drouin
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (137)
56.6% (632)
-7.7%
Power Play
58.8% (34)
58.7% (206)
+0.1%
On even strength, Hertl has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Drouin is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Drouin shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Drouin
Hertl
Home
49.4% (87)
59.7% (434)
Away
52.4% (84)
54.9% (426)
By Period
Drouin
Hertl
P1
54.0%
51.0%
P2
56.3%
64.0%
P3
44.1%
57.8%
OT
60.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
48.0%▼
50.5%
50.9%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.3%