Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Hertl 57.5% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.8%
Defensive zone
Drouin 54.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Drouin
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
58.7% (858)
-11.2%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
55.8% (285)
+1.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Drouin
Hertl
Home
49.5% (97)
60.1% (599)
Away
49.2% (128)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Drouin
Hertl
P1
52.1%
52.4%
P2
51.5%
63.9%
P3
45.0%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%