Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eberle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eberle wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 46.8% vs Dowd 48.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eberle 92.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.7%
Result
Jordan Eberle favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Eberle
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eberle
Dowd
Last 5: Eberle 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eberle
3
0
Eberle
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Eberle
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (63)
49.2% (778)
-11.1%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
58.3% (12)
+11.7%
On power play, Eberle has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eberle is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Eberle shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Eberle
Dowd
Home
44.7% (38)
46.3% (492)
Away
40.0% (35)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Eberle
Dowd
P1
42.9%
49.1%
P2
36.7%
48.2%
P3
48.3%
46.9%
Final 5 min
42.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
42.0%▬
41.5%
42.5%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Jordan Eberle |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jordan Eberle |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jordan Eberle |