Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 47.6% vs Dowd 49.5% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eberle 78.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.4%
Result
Jordan Eberle favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Eberle
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eberle
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eberle
1
0
Eberle
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
34.8% (23)
53.4% (485)
-18.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
On power play, Eberle has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eberle is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Eberle shoots right. Dowd is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Eberle
Dowd
Home
25.0% (12)
48.5% (307)
Away
50.0% (12)
50.3% (366)
By Period
Eberle
Dowd
P1
33.3%
50.7%
P2
44.4%
49.1%
P3
33.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
42.0%▬
41.5%
37.5%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jordan Eberle |