Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 47.7% vs Dowd 48.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eberle 78.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.8%
Result
Jordan Eberle favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Eberle
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eberle
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eberle
1
0
Eberle
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (27)
51.0% (671)
-14.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
On power play, Eberle has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eberle is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Eberle shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Eberle
Dowd
Home
28.6% (14)
48.2% (471)
Away
50.0% (14)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Eberle
Dowd
P1
38.5%
48.3%
P2
45.5%
46.8%
P3
25.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.3%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jordan Eberle |